BREAKING THE BLACK SEA BRIGADE: HOW TO COUNTER RUSSIA'S WAR ON UKRAINE'S GRAIN - On July 17, Russia pulled out of the Black Sea Grain Initiative, a deal brokered by the United Nations and Turkey in 2022 to allow for the safe navigation of Ukrainian grain exports and fertilizers from Ukraine amid Russia’s full-scale invasion. In leaving the grain deal, Russia is attempting to resume its blockade of Ukraine’s Black Sea ports, delivering another blow to the Ukrainian economy and threatening global food supply chains in a new escalation of its war on Ukraine.
Russia’s renewed Black Sea blockade is Moscow’s latest vector of aggression against Ukraine. In addition to its blockade, Russian forces have bombed port infrastructure in Odesa, Mykolayiv, and in ports along the Danube River, while threatening to strike commercial ships in the Black Sea headed for Ukrainian waters. With minimal success on the battlefield in 2023, Russian forces appear to be targeting Ukraine’s agricultural exports—a key pillar of the Ukrainian economy—as it seeks advantage in the war.
Kyiv has responded to Moscow’s grain games by threatening strikes against Russian shipping and is resolved to continue to defend its territory. But curbing Moscow’s latest front of aggression in its war will also require a strong Western response.
What options do Ukraine’s partners, including the US and Turkey, have to respond to Russia’s renewed Black Sea blockade? How can the West help support Ukraine’s grain exports and keep the economy running? How might Russia’s decision to abandon the deal and target port infrastructure impact Ukrainian and Russian efforts on the battlefield?
The Atlantic Council’s Eurasia Center gathered a panel of experts to discuss how Ukraine and its Western partners should respond to Russia’s Black Sea aggression.
ORIGINAL AIRDATE: 7/28/23