HOW MIGHT RUSSIA’S WAR ON UKRAINE CHANGE IN 2026? - Join the Atlantic Council’s Eurasia Center for a discussion examining the most recent developments in Russia’s war against Ukraine.

There is constant action on both the military and diplomatic fronts of Russia’s war on Ukraine. While Moscow has ramped up missile and drone attacks on Ukrainian civilians and infrastructure, Ukraine’s long-range strikes continue to target Russian military and oil installations. Meanwhile, Russia has made small battlefield gains, which, despite contrary Kremlin statements, do not include the complete capture of Pokrovsk and Kupyansk. On the diplomatic side, presidents Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelenskyy have agreed on 90 to 95 percent of a peace proposal, which prompted Russian President Vladimir Putin’s phony claims that Ukraine targeted his residence. More recently, the United States appeared to endorse European plans for security guarantees and a reassurance force for Ukraine.

This conversation unpacks these developments and maps the trajectory of the war in 2026.

ORIGINAL AIRDATE: 01/16/2026